blog post image

Maules Creek PAC decision: Is environmental economics relevant anymore?

Posted on October 29, 2012 · Posted in Blog

In the last couple of years much attention has been focused on the relevance (or lack thereof) of economics for policy making.  As an economist interested in environmental issues, I’ve often asked myself, does economics

make much of a contribution to environmental decisions.  There are some indications that it has – environmental economic techniques were important to legal and policy outcomes in relation to compensation for the Exxon Valdez spill, and closer to home, in the decision not to mine Coronation Hill, now part of Kakadu.While influential, both of these decisions were seen by some as excessively green, and brought about much examination of valuation techniques, particularly contingent valuation.  One response has been to use a method borrowed from marketing research, choice modelling, to come up with more “balanced” environmental values.  Choice modelling has recently been commissioned by several coal mine developers in NSW to estimate the values that their projects have on the environment and society.

So what to make of this week’s NSW Planning and Assessment Commission decision, which approved the Maules Creek Coal mine, but noted about its use of environmental values (based on choice modelling):

The Commission has noted in response that narrowly-based cost-benefit analyses of the kind usually undertaken for coal mining projects are unlikely to ever value any single environmental attribute or feature above the value of the coal that would have to be foregone to protect it. The Commission’s view is that such assessments should therefore be approached with extreme caution rather than being uncritically accepted as justifying propositions for destruction of significant natural features. The techniques available for placing an economic value on natural features are still relatively crude and, in the Commission’s view, their application usually falls well short of the standard required to withstand rigorous scrutiny.

So far from being too green, the PAC seems to think that the environmental economics of the Maules Creek Project were subjectively brown.  What does this mean for environmental valuation?  Has it matured into a useful tool that is used by both sides of policy debates?  Or is its use now so obviously subjective that valuation results reflect little more than the opinions of those who commission them?  Is environmental evaluation coming of age, or is it a passing fad?

While providing no answers to these questions, it is interesting to revisit the  2010 PAC decision on the Bulli Seam coal project and its choice modelling environmental valuation:

The Panel welcomes this approach and recommends its use in future EAs where environmental consequences are of particular importance in the determination of policy. However, that is not to say there is no room for improvement in applying the technique. While Choice Modelling cannot claim to deliver precise estimates of environmental costs, its application should be refined to deliver more precision.

It is worth noting that this earlier PAC panel included one of Australia’s most prominent choice modelling researchers, Prof Jeff Bennett, while the more recent panel did not.